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2024-12-14 01:17:19
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CITIC Securities: Potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to a staged turning point in catering demand. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, domestic consumer demand has been sluggish since 2023, and the price of the catering industry has entered a downward channel. How will China catering enterprises behave at this moment? The experience of Japanese restaurant enterprises may provide some enlightenment. Although the differences between macro and national conditions prevent China from simply repeating the price war of Japanese catering and its impact, the catering competition in high-speed cities in China is similar to that in Japan in structure. The research report believes that the change of restaurant supply and CPI performance can be used as a forward-looking indicator to judge when the current price war will end, while potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to catering demand and form a stage turning point. Two main lines are recommended: 1) Mature catering enterprises pay attention to the same-store sales and valuation improvement brought about by the rebound of CPI, while enterprises with serious decline in same-store sales before have higher performance and valuation resilience. 2) Growing catering enterprises pay more attention to the rhythm of income growth and profit release.The tenth batch of national procurement officially opened, and the number of enterprises and varieties involved reached a record high. The tenth batch of centralized drug procurement organized by the state officially accepted the application materials of enterprises at 8: 00 this morning at No.398 Zhanyuan Road, Nanqiao New Town, Fengxian District, Shanghai. This centralized procurement involved 62 varieties and 263 product specifications, and the number of enterprises and varieties involved reached a record high. Among them, 33 enterprises competed for nine short-listed oral sustained-release formulations of sitagliptin. There are also a number of varieties that are billions in the market of public hospitals, such as doxorubicin hydrochloride liposome injection, cefoperazone injection, piperacillin injection, compound α -ketoacid oral sustained-release dosage form, norepinephrine injection and aspirin oral sustained-release dosage form. The sales scale in sample hospitals last year all exceeded 2 billion yuan. Hengrui Pharma, Kelun Pharmaceutical, Unacon and Zhengda Tianqing participated with many varieties. Note: According to the tenth batch of national adoption documents released before, the tenth batch of national adoption rules have changed a lot, such as canceling the protection mechanism of 50% price reduction and increasing the fuse recovery mechanism by 1.8 times, and the number of B-certified enterprises affects the number of final finalists.CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025: investment opportunities may be easy first and then difficult. When CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025, it said that it is expected that the stock market and policy expectations will still be the short-term main drivers of the stock price of the sector. Combined with the low profit base and the possible window period, the investment opportunities in the industry may be easy first and then difficult: the short-term stock market will rise sharply or reproduce the general market, and the investment logic will return to long-term contradictions such as interest rate trends after emotional calm.


The restricted shares with a market value of 2.546 billion yuan were lifted today. Yongda, Sitaili and Dameng Data were among the top companies in terms of market value. On Thursday (December 12), the restricted shares of 8 companies were lifted, with a total lifting amount of 175 million shares. According to the latest closing price, the total lifting market value was 2.546 billion yuan. Judging from the amount of lifting the ban, the number of shares lifted by the two companies exceeded 10 million. Si Taili, Yongda and Ningxin New Materials were among the top, with 95,895,400 shares, 65,203,300 shares and 6,633,200 shares respectively. Judging from the market value of lifting the ban, the number of shares lifted by the two companies exceeded 100 million yuan. Yongda Co., Ltd., Sitaili and Dameng Data are among the top companies in terms of market value, with market values of 1.039 billion yuan, 992 million yuan and 349 million yuan respectively. Judging from the proportion of shares released from the ban to the total share capital, the proportion of the two companies released from the ban exceeded 10%. Yongda Co., Ltd., Sitaili Co., Ltd. and Ningxincai Co., Ltd. have the highest proportion of lifting the ban, accounting for 27.17%, 21.87% and 7.13% respectively.CITIC Securities: There is no need to be overly pessimistic about the export of home appliances catalyzed by state subsidies. CITIC Securities Research Report said that domestically, the sales data of white electricity and black electricity continued to improve under the support of state subsidies. Externally, the overall export exposure of home appliance enterprises to the United States is relatively limited, so there is no need to be overly pessimistic. Looking forward to the future, the domestic demand stimulus policy is expected to be further overweight, and it is suggested to focus on white power enterprises that benefit from state subsidies; Optional sectors where domestic demand is expected to reverse (small household appliances, projection).The law enforcement agencies of China and the Philippines cooperated again to repatriate more than 30 Philippine citizens engaged in offshore gambling in the Philippines. On December 12, the law enforcement agencies of China and the Philippines cooperated again to repatriate more than 30 China citizens engaged in offshore gambling in the Philippines. This is the fourth batch of repatriation between China and the Philippines after the Philippine government announced a total ban on offshore gambling in the Philippines. The Philippine Embassy in the Philippines will continue to strengthen law enforcement cooperation with the Philippine side and promote the orderly repatriation of relevant personnel on the basis of protecting the legitimate rights and interests of China citizens.


South Korean President Yin Xiyue made a speech to the people on the 12th, accusing the opposition party of framing "the crime of civil strife" and engaging in impeachment. (Xinhua News Agency)Guosheng Securities Xiongyuan: We can be more optimistic about the policy and the market. "The biggest highlight of this Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party is' face the problem and prescribe the right medicine'." Xiong Yuan, chief economist of Guosheng Securities, said that many new ideas and expressions of the meeting directly pointed to various challenges that China's economy urgently needs to solve, and made a strong response to various problems. Xiong Yuan pointed out that the market can be more firm in policy strength and policy determination for at least one and a half years in the future. In the future, the imagination of policies is relatively large.High-word-of-mouth movies rush to the box office at the end of the year. The Spring Festival file in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. According to the data of Lighthouse Professional Edition, as of December 11 (17: 40), the cumulative box office of 20 movies in 2024 has reached 1.119 billion yuan. Among them, "Good Things" has a box office of 569 million yuan and a douban score of 9.1, which leads both word-of-mouth and box office. In addition, this week's three potential new films, Broken Hell, Misjudgment and Lion Boy 2, have been screened and entered the box office sprint at the end of the year. It is also known that four films, Nezha's Devil Children Roaring the Sea, The Legend of the Condor Heroes: The Great Man, The Fortunes of the Gods Part II: The War in the West, The Bear Appears and Restarts the Future, have been confirmed to be scheduled for the Spring Festival in 2025. The "National Film Consumption Season for the benefit of the people" launched by the State Film Bureau on December 9 will last from December 2024 to February 2025, and a total of not less than 600 million yuan will be invested in movie viewing subsidies, covering the Lunar New Year and Spring Festival files, which will help promote the market's enthusiasm for watching movies. Huatai Securities released a research report saying that the box office of the Spring Festival in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. In 2025, the supply and demand sides of the film market are expected to improve, or will push the fundamental inflection point of the cinema line plate upward. (Securities Daily)

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